Russian occupiers’ active offensive actions to cease in next 6-8 weeks – Ukraine’s intelligence chief

The Russian occupying forces' active offensive actions, which are currently ongoing, are expected to decline within the next one and a half to two months.

Kyrylo Budanov, the head of Ukraine's intelligence, stated this in an interview with Forbes Ukraine.

"The main force of the Russian army should wrap up within a month and a half to two months, as the offensive is already dragging on," the head of Ukrainian intelligence said.

Budanov explained that taking into account the practice of the ten-year war, the offensive potential of any side does not extend beyond two months.

According to the head of Ukraine's intelligence, active offensive operations by Russian troops are approaching three months, so some decline is expected after that.

"We know that after a recession and a slight lull, the enemy will make new attempts to advance. And we are preparing for that," the head of intelligence warned.

Budanov also noted that the further development of the situation will largely depend on the actions of the Ukrainian side.

"Or we can sit and wait, and in four or five months, everything will happen again, or we can take action beforehand," he stressed.

According to Kyrylo Budanov's forecast, preparing for potential challenges that may arise following the end of the Russian troops' offensive actions is crucial. The Ukrainian army is also actively preparing for possible future attacks and strategizing ways to counter the aggressor.

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As the Commander-in-Chief of Ukraine's armed forces, Oleksandr Syrsky, reported, the Russian occupying forces, at the cost of heavy losses, are gaining little success in some regions of the eastern front. Still, the situation at the front can change several times a day.

The most intense battles are taking place on the fronts of Pokrovsk, Toretsk, and Kurakhiv. The Russian invaders are also attempting to capture the city of Chasiv Yar, which would provide them access to the Kramatorsk agglomeration.

In addition, according to British intelligence, Russian troops are confidently advancing in the Donetsk region.

In turn, the ISW said that Russian forces continue to carry out intermittent and impulsive mechanized attacks, likely reflecting their current offensive capabilities. However, due to material and human limitations, the Russian Federation is unlikely to be able to conduct a new summer offensive operation.

It is worth adding that Ukrainian defenders successfully repelled a large-scale assault on the Kurakhiv front for the second time in a week.

In addition, since the beginning of July, the Russian army has suffered significant losses in Ukraine. In total, over the past month, the Russian army lost 35,680 soldiers and 6,320 units of weapons and military equipment.