Foreign media exaggerate when mention Russia’s new offensive this summer – Center for Strategic Communication

Foreign outlets have reported a row of theories about the alleged "great Russian offensive."

Ukraine's Center for Strategic Communications and Information Security responded to this information in the media.

The Financial Times reportedly published an article saying that Russian forces may be planning a large-scale offensive in Ukraine this summer to complete capture of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions.

A separate "highlight" was the part of the article that says that the Kremlin does not rule out another attempt to capture Kharkiv or Kyiv.

Experts noted that all this causes certain anxiety and panic. Yet, the reporters did not say anything new, the center states.

It is obvious that "Putin has not abandoned the idea of capturing the whole of Ukraine and continues to throw all available resources at the front," the Center for Strategic Communications emphasized.

This does not mean that the Kremlin's plans will come true.

"Ukrainian forces continue to hold the line, and Kyiv is reliably protected. The occupiers were unable to reach the capital in early 2022, when the Ukrainian army was weaker and less armed, so they will not succeed now."

As of January 12, the number of Russian troops amounted to 462,000 in Ukraine.

Russia plans to increase ammunition production in 2024, however, it faces a number of issues related to the lack of components, qualified personnel, and production facilities. According to the Ukraine's intelligence, Russia will face a deficit of 500,000 rounds of ammunition, the same as last year.

In order to create a "buffer zone" with Belgorod region after attacks, Russia began to call again for a large-scale offensive in Kharkiv region.

ISW believes that Russian forces are planning to attack Kupyansk in the coming weeks, yet are not ready for large-scale offensive operations in the Kharkiv region.

The British Ministry of Defense assessed Russia's attempts to surround Avdiivka and predicted that Russian successes in the area would be unlikely in the near future.