Estonian intelligence foresees great success for Ukraine at front soon

The actions of the Ukrainian troops during the counteroffensive and signs of complications for the occupation army of the Russian Federation may indicate that shortly, Ukraine can count on great success at the front.

The head of the Estonian Defense Forces intelligence center, Colonel Margo Grosberg, stated,  ERR reports.

At a briefing at the Ministry of Defense on July 14, Grosberg spoke about the tactics of Ukraine's armed forces to destroy the command posts and logistics centers of the Russian troops with pinpoint strikes, about the successes in the areas near Bakhmut and the words of the Russian general indicating the exhaustion of Russian reserves.

"All this shows that the Ukrainians are close to success," Grosberg said.

The preparatory offensive operations currently being carried out by Ukraine's armed forces aim to pin down Russian units in narrow areas and find weak points for a breakthrough. For this purpose, important transport hubs, logistics points, and control centers of the Russian army in the rear are being attacked, the colonel explained.

He also spoke about the fact that Ukrainian units near Bakhmut managed to capture key terrain areas to the north and south of the city, making it possible to conduct artillery fire on the city, which is held by Russian troops, and control the roads leading to it. According to Grosberg, this complicates the supply for Russian units there.

In addition, the fact that Russian airborne troops stationed in Bakhmut since the spring are still tied to the city, suffering casualties and unable to be redeployed or placed in reserve, has a significant impact. Considering that the paratroopers are an elite Russian unit whose fighters have high morale, this attrition tactic certainly affects their motivation.

"At some point, it should lead to more success," Grosberg believes.

On the southern front, in the region of Zaporizhzhia and Velyka Novoselivka, Ukrainian units have increased the area of the liberated territory and are destroying key Russian objects in this area with point strikes, Grosberg continued.

He especially noted the attack on the hotel in Berdiansk, which killed the deputy commander of the Southern Military District,  Russian Lieutenant General Oleg Tsokov, this week.

The expert also drew attention to the dismissal of Russian General Ivan Popov, allegedly because of his criticism of the General Staff and the leaking of records about the position of the 58th Army under his command. Grosberg cited Popov's statement that units stay on the front line for a very long time and do not change, and besides, soldiers die en masse due to the enemy's artillery.

"All this indicates that the reserves of the Russian Federation are running out, as the units are not rotated," Grosberg stated.

The colonel also noted that on the Svativ and Kupiansk fronts in the northeast, the Russian troops have struck the most significant number of blows and achieved specific successes; they are still far from a tactical breakthrough. The purpose of the pressure there is to force Ukraine to transfer troops from Bakhmut and other places where they have been successful, Grosberg explained.