Occupiers are unlikely to seize more Ukrainian territory in the coming months - ISW
The russians will probably not be able to commit enough resources to any single offensive operation and capture more territory in the coming months unless events unfold in an "unforeseen way"
It is reported by the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
The institute notes that russian offensive operations in the east have likely exhausted the momentum they gained in late July.
The russians are unable to capitalize on previous successes around Bakhmut and Avdiivka, which is an example of a more fundamental russian military problem — the inability to convert tactical successes into operational achievements.
russian forces have consistently failed to take advantage of tactical breakthroughs to maneuver into rear areas or disable a significant part of Ukrainian defense lines. Therefore, they constantly give the Ukrainians time to tactically withdraw from the battle and restore defensive positions against which the russians must launch new attacks.
ISW writes that this is a shortcoming that will likely prevent russia from making significant territorial gains in the coming months unless there are major changes on the battlefield.
russian forces will likely never be able to commit enough resources to any single offensive operation to regain the momentum necessary for a significant territorial advance leading to operational successes.
The russians will also need to form and deploy additional assault groups, equipment, and morale to resume even these limited territorial advances.
The russians are reported to have launched several unsuccessful ground assaults southwest and southeast of Izyum, a ground attack southeast of Siversk, and northeast and south of Bakhmut. russian forces have made limited gains west of Donetsk but have not launched ground attacks in the direction of the border between the Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Regions.
russian troops continued to attack settlements northwest and southwest of Avdiivka. They also carried out several assaults on the Kherson-Mykolaiv front line and partially advanced to the east of Mykolaiv.
